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Championship header 2

League One

Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 18
Jan 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Portsmouth

Oxford Utd
2 - 2
Portsmouth

Goodrham (45'), Henry (90')
Buckingham (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bishop (69'), Lang (80')
Bishop (58'), Peart-Harris (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last Game: Port Vale 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawPortsmouth
31.18% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)25.25% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)43.57% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.44% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.95% (0.011000000000003 0.01)48.04% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.79% (0.010999999999999 0.01)70.21% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.09% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)28.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)64.78% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.97% (0.01100000000001 0.01)22.02% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.65% (0.018000000000001 0.02)55.34% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 31.18%
    Portsmouth 43.57%
    Draw 25.25%
Oxford UnitedDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 7.9% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-1 @ 7.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.32%
3-0 @ 2.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 31.18%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.37% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 9.63% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 9.04% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 7.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 43.57%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Portsmouth

Oxford United
18.2%
Draw
9.1%
Portsmouth
72.7%
55
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Oxford Utd
1-1
Portsmouth
Long (37')
Pack (26')
> Preview
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Portsmouth
1-1
Oxford Utd
Bishop (78')
Joseph (16')
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Portsmouth
3-2
Oxford Utd
Raggett (42'), Hirst (45+2'), Carter (58')
Carter (74')
Browne (3'), McNally (81')
Long (86')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 31
Oxford Utd
3-2
Portsmouth
McNally (6'), Brannagan (82'), Holland (90+6')
Brannagan (64'), Seddon (77'), Kane (80'), Moore (90+4')
Jacobs (10'), Curtis (51')
Jacobs (24'), Hirst (28'), Hume (45+4'), Curtis (81'), Bazunu (88'), Tunnicliffe (90+2'), Raggett (90+11')
Morrell (16')
> Preview
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 31
Oxford Utd
0-1
Portsmouth

Brannagan (45+1')
White (48')
Curtis (14'), Harness (45+1')