League One

League One | Gameweek 30

Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
0 - 1
Portsmouth

Chislett (16'), Chislett (16'), Iacovitti (40'), Iacovitti (40'), Smith (45+4'), Smith (45+4'), Massey (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bishop (88' pen.)
Lane (26'), Lane (26'), Lowery (29'), Lowery (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: Reading 0-0 Port Vale
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: Fleetwood 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 53.97%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 23.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 2-1 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Portsmouth
23.11% ( 0.44)	22.93% ( 0.11)	53.97% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 56.39% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.34% (

0.01)

43.66% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.94% (

0.01)

66.06% (

-0.01)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.23% (

0.4)

32.77% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.67% (

0.44)

69.33% (

-0.44)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.88% (

-0.19)

16.12% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.45% (

-0.34)

45.55% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 23.11%

Portsmouth 53.97%

Draw 22.92%

Port Vale	Draw	Portsmouth
2-1 @ 6% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.43% Total : 23.11%	1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.92%	1-2 @ 9.82% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 5.97% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 5.35% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.72% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.38% Total : 53.97%