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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 18.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.15%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 18.28% ( | 23.22% ( | 58.5% |
| Both teams to score 48.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.03% ( | 50.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.16% | 72.84% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.14% ( | 41.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.69% ( | 78.31% ( |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.86% ( | 17.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.63% ( | 47.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 6.25% 2-1 @ 4.8% 2-0 @ 2.72% ( 3-1 @ 1.39% 3-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.89% Total : 18.28% | 1-1 @ 11.02% 0-0 @ 7.17% ( 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.22% | 0-1 @ 12.65% 0-2 @ 11.15% 1-2 @ 9.72% 0-3 @ 6.56% 1-3 @ 5.71% 0-4 @ 2.89% 1-4 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.49% 2-4 @ 1.1% 0-5 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.68% Total : 58.49% |