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League One | Gameweek 28
Feb 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Port Vale

Reading
2 - 0
Port Vale

Wing (76'), Knibbs (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Reading and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 4-1 Reading
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 3-2 Port Vale
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Reading win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Port Vale has a probability of 29.69% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Port Vale win is 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.91%).

Result
ReadingDrawPort Vale
45.17% (0.061 0.06)25.14% (0.021000000000001 0.02)29.69% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 55.04% (-0.119 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.79% (-0.135 -0.13)48.21% (0.137 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.63% (-0.123 -0.12)70.37% (0.127 0.13)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)21.36% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.67% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)54.33% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99% (-0.123 -0.12)30.01% (0.126 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.86% (-0.152 -0.15)66.14% (0.154 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Reading 45.17%
    Port Vale 29.69%
    Draw 25.14%
ReadingDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 9.9% (0.048 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.64% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 3.93% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 45.17%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.41% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 7.72% (0.017 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.88% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 29.69%

How you voted: Reading vs Port Vale

Reading
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
Port Vale
11.1%
36
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Port Vale
1-0
Reading
Garrity (72')

Carroll (45+6'), Wing (76')