League One Gameweek 18
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • yellowcard Jordan Brown 16'
  • goal Idris El Mizouni 60'
  • yellowcard Theo Archibald 75'

Port Vale vs Leyton Orient - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
Fleetwood 3 - 0 Port Vale
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Ben Garrity

Leyton Orient

All competitions
Last game
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
Leyton Orient 3 - 2 Carlisle
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Joe Pigott

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Leyton Orient in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leyton Orient.

Result

Port Vale 33.93% (+0.01)
Draw 25.59% (-0.01)
Leyton Orient 40.47% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.27% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.31% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 48.69% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 29.2% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 70.8% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 14.12% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 85.88% (-0.01)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 72.54% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 27.46% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 37.05% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 62.95% (-0.01)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5 76.19% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 23.81% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 42.02% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 57.98%

Score analysis

Port Vale 33.93%
Draw 25.59%
Leyton Orient 40.47%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 8.45%
2-1 @ 7.84% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.46% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.38% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.42% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 33.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 6.54% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.59%
Leyton Orient
0-1 @ 9.38% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.73% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.16%
0-3 @ 3.22%
2-3 @ 2.69%
1-4 @ 1.49%
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 40.47%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 28
Jan 22, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alex Mitchell 51' yellowcard
  • Shadrach Ogie 70' yellowcard
  • Connor Wood 73' yellowcard
  • Omar Beckles 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Garrity 42'
  • yellowcard Brad Walker 79'
League Two Gameweek 10
Oct 2, 2021 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • James Wilson 6' goal
  • Nathan Smith 65' yellowcard
  • J 88' yellowcard
  • Dennis Politic 90'+1' goal
  • Jamie Proctor 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Hector Kyprianou 28'
  • yellowcard Omar Beckles 31'
  • yellowcard Shadrach Ogie 37'
  • goal Daniel Jones 60' (OG)
  • yellowcard Tom James 74'
  • goal Tom James 86'
League Two Gameweek 30
Feb 20, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Matchroom Stadium
  • James Brophy 48' yellowcard
  • Dan Kemp 63' goal
  • Jobi McAnuff 80' yellowcard
  • goal David Worrall 47'
League Two Gameweek 15
Nov 28, 2020 1.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Vale Park
  • Leon Legge 8' goal
  • Cristian Montano 76' goal
  • Leon Legge 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Cristian Montano 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Danny Johnson 11'
  • goal Conor Wilkinson 31'
  • yellowcard Dan Happe 45'+1'
  • goal James Brophy 85'
League Two Gameweek 28
Jan 18, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • David Amoo 71' goal
  • yellowcard Jordan Maguire-Drew 37'
  • yellowcard Myles Judd 59'
  • yellowcard Lee Angol 69'
  • yellowcard Josh Coulson 92'
League Two Gameweek 11
Sep 28, 2019 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Josh Wright 4' goal
  • Conor Wilkinson 59' goal
  • Conor Wilkinson 64' yellowcard
  • Louis Dennis 66' yellowcard
  • George Marsh 84' yellowcard
  • Josh Wright 93' goal
  • goal Scott Burgess 23'
  • goal Leon Legge 27'
  • yellowcard James Gibbons 64'
  • yellowcard Leon Legge 65'
  • goal Jake Taylor 85'