/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Ffleelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fporlog_1.png)
-
Jayden Stockley
8'
-
Carl Johnston
33'
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Danny Mayor
54'
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Ronan Coughlin
65'
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Gavin Kilkenny
90'
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Ryan Broom
90'+4'
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Jason Lowe
63'
Fleetwood Town vs Port Vale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F51%2Fandrew-crosby.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result
Fleetwood Town
29.84%
▼
(-1.20)
Draw
25.99%
▼
(-0.15)
Port Vale
44.16%
▲
(+1.34)
Both Teams to Score:
52.39%
▼
(-0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.3%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
51.7%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
26.52%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
73.48%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 4.5
12.34%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
87.66%
▼
(-0.06)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5
68.31%
▼
(-0.80)
Under 0.5
31.69%
▲
(+0.79)
Over 1.5
31.89%
▼
(-0.93)
Under 1.5
68.1%
▲
(+0.92)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5
76.69%
▲
(+0.69)
Under 0.5
23.31%
▼
(-0.70)
Over 1.5
42.75%
▲
(+1.00)
Under 1.5
57.25%
▼
(-1.01)
Score analysis
Fleetwood Town
29.84%
Draw
25.99%
Port Vale
44.16%
Fleetwood Town
1-0
@
8.49%
▼
(-0.23)
2-1 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.24)
3-1 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 29.84%
2-1 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.24)
3-1 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 29.84%
Draw
1-1
@
12.36%
▼
(-0.08)
0-0 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 25.99%
0-0 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 25.99%
Port Vale
0-1
@
10.75%
▲
(+0.17)
1-2 @ 9% ▲ (+0.14)
0-2 @ 7.83% ▲ (+0.29)
1-3 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.16)
0-3 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.22)
2-3 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.09)
0-4 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 44.16%
1-2 @ 9% ▲ (+0.14)
0-2 @ 7.83% ▲ (+0.29)
1-3 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.16)
0-3 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.22)
2-3 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.09)
0-4 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 44.16%
