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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 60.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 18.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.35%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-0 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Portsmouth in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 18.08% ( | 21.6% ( | 60.32% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.46% ( | 44.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.09% ( | 66.91% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.7% ( | 38.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.94% ( | 75.06% ( |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.67% ( | 14.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.83% ( | 42.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 5.27% ( 2-1 @ 4.91% ( 2-0 @ 2.53% ( 3-1 @ 1.57% ( 3-2 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 18.08% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.6% | 0-1 @ 10.66% ( 0-2 @ 10.35% ( 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0-3 @ 6.71% ( 1-3 @ 6.44% ( 0-4 @ 3.26% ( 1-4 @ 3.13% ( 2-3 @ 3.09% ( 2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0-5 @ 1.27% ( 1-5 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 60.31% |