/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Ffleelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
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Josh Vela
31'
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Jayden Stockley
76'
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Nathaniel Mendez-Laing
27'
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James Collins
45'+1'
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James Collins
74'
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Tom Barkhuizen
90'
Fleetwood Town vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 57.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 19.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-0 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Fleetwood Town Goals
Derby County Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 19.61%
0-0 @ 5.92% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.83%
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 22.53%
0-2 @ 10.13%
1-2 @ 9.9%
0-3 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 57.85%