League One

League One | Gameweek 27

Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
3 - 3
Charlton

Chislett (45' pen.), Ikpeazu (63'), Massey (90+2')
Crosby (33'), Smith (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Taylor (27'), Kanu (59'), Campbell (83')
Jones (32'), Dobson (74'), Watson (87'), Thomas (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Port Vale
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Oxford Utd
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Charlton Athletic
39.02% ( -0.74)	24.83% ( 0.24)	36.15% ( 0.5)

Both teams to score 58.31% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.08% (

-1.08)

44.92% (

1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.73% (

-1.05)

67.27% (

1.05)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.12% (

-0.85)

22.88% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.38% (

-1.27)

56.62% (

1.27)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.61% (

-0.22)

24.39% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.2% (

-0.32)

58.8% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 39.02%

Charlton Athletic 36.15%

Draw 24.83%

Port Vale	Draw	Charlton Athletic
2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.24% Total : 39.02%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.26) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.83%	1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.94% Total : 36.15%