League One Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Vale Park
  • Andy Crosby 33' yellowcard
  • Ethan Chislett 45' goal
  • Uche Ikpeazu 63' goal
  • Gavin Massey 90'+2' goal
  • Nathan Smith 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Corey Taylor 27'
  • yellowcard Lloyd Jones 32'
  • goal Daniel Kanu 59'
  • yellowcard George Dobson 74'
  • goal Tyreece Campbell 83'
  • yellowcard Louie Watson 87'
  • yellowcard Terell Thomas 90'+6'

Port Vale vs Charlton Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
Carlisle 2 - 1 Port Vale
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Ben Garrity

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
Last game
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
Charlton 1 - 2 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Alfie May

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Port Vale 39.02% (-0.75)
Draw 24.83% (+0.25)
Charlton Athletic 36.15% (+0.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.31% (-0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.08% (-1.09)
Under 2.5 44.92% (+1.09)
Over 3.5 32.73% (-1.06)
Under 3.5 67.27% (+1.06)
Over 4.5 16.6% (-0.77)
Under 4.5 83.4% (+0.77)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 77.12% (-0.85)
Under 0.5 22.88% (+0.85)
Over 1.5 43.38% (-1.27)
Under 1.5 56.62% (+1.27)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 75.61% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 24.39% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 41.2% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 58.8% (+0.32)

Score analysis

Port Vale 39.02%
Draw 24.83%
Charlton Athletic 36.15%
Port Vale
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.09)
1-0 @ 8.23% (+0.18)
2-0 @ 6.07% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.16)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.13)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.10)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 39.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61% (+0.18)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.11)
0-0 @ 5.58% (+0.26)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.83%
Charlton Athletic
1-2 @ 8.19% (+0.08)
0-1 @ 7.87% (+0.32)
0-2 @ 5.55% (+0.19)
1-3 @ 3.85% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.61% (+0.08)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 36.15%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT The Valley
  • Alfie May 10' goal
  • Alfie May 32' yellowcard
  • Ashley Maynard-Brewer 34' yellowcard
  • Karoy Anderson 38' yellowcard
  • Daniel Kanu 71' goal
  • Michael Hector 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Connor Ripley 9'
  • yellowcard Ethan Chislett 50'
  • goal James Wilson 55'
  • goal Ethan Chislett 56'
  • yellowcard Oliver Arblaster 76'
  • goal Funso Ojo 87'
League One Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT The Valley
  • Tyreece Campbell 14' goal
  • Jesuran Rak-Sakyi 57' goal
  • Miles Leaburn 77' goal
  • goal James Plant 62'
  • goal Matt Taylor 90'+7'
League One Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • Daniel Butterworth 58' goal
League One
Nov 19, 2016 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Josh Magennis 30' goal
  • Fredrik Ulvestad 38' yellowcard
  • Nicky Ajose 44' goal
  • Ademola Lookman 55' yellowcard
League One
Oct 18, 2016 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Paulo Tavares 81' yellowcard
  • Alexander Jones 85' goal
  • goal Fredrik Ulvestad 30'
  • yellowcard Ricky Holmes 54'