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Championship header 2

League One

Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Stevenage

Port Vale
2 - 2
Stevenage

Vancooten (6' og.), Ojo (90+8' pen.)
Lowe (28'), Mighten (82'), Sang (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Reid (52'), Vancooten (58')
Piergianni (33'), Forster-Caskey (36'), MacGillivray (90+3'), Butler (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last Game: Port Vale 0-1 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in League One

Stevenage

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Reading
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawStevenage
28.97% (0.693 0.69)25.74% (0.038999999999998 0.04)45.3% (-0.733 -0.73)
Both teams to score 52.68% (0.32 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.91% (0.211 0.21)51.09% (-0.211 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.06% (0.184 0.18)72.94% (-0.184 -0.18)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.99% (0.63 0.63)32.01% (-0.63 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.52% (0.713 0.71)68.48% (-0.71299999999999 -0.71)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (-0.249 -0.25)22.51% (0.248 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.92% (-0.372 -0.37)56.08% (0.372 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 28.97%
    Stevenage 45.29%
    Draw 25.74%
Port ValeDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 8.21% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.97% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 4.67% (0.12 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.65% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.055 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.78% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 28.97%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.21% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 10.74% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 8.01% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.54% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.98% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.69% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.49% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 45.29%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Stevenage

Port Vale
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Stevenage
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round Replays
Port Vale
3-3
Stevenage
 Stevenage win 4-3 on penalties
Garrity (6', 55'), Loft (114')
Iacovitti (69'), Ripley (90'), Garrity (106')
White (81'), Hemmings (90+6'), Thompson (119')
Thompson (50'), Thompson (50')
> Preview
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Second Round
Stevenage
1-1
Port Vale
Reid (69')
Ashby-Hammond (64'), Reid (80'), Piergianni (81'), Wildin (90+3')
Ojo (76' pen.)
Loft (78'), Ikpeazu (81'), Lowe (90+6')
> Preview
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Stevenage
0-0
Port Vale
Roberts (34'), Thompson (50'), Smith (80')
Arblaster (29'), Smith (38'), Balmer (45')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Port Vale
2-0
Stevenage
O'Neill (6' og.), Edmondson (12')
Walker (2')

Upson (87')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Stevenage
1-1
Port Vale
Norris (33')
Rodney (20')
Smith (13'), Wilson (30'), Walker (52')