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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 52.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Reading had a probability of 23.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Reading |
| 52.44% ( | 24.13% | 23.43% |
| Both teams to score 52.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.46% | 48.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.33% ( | 70.67% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.52% ( | 18.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.32% ( | 49.68% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.83% | 35.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.08% ( | 71.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 10.97% 2-1 @ 9.68% 2-0 @ 9.27% ( 3-1 @ 5.45% 3-0 @ 5.22% ( 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.3% Total : 52.43% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.13% | 0-1 @ 6.79% 1-2 @ 5.99% 0-2 @ 3.55% 1-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.01% Total : 23.43% |