AFC Wimbledon
Barnsley
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bradford City
Burton Albion
Cardiff City logo
Doncaster Rovers
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Luton Town
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Plymouth Argyle
Port Vale
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wycombe Wanderers
Championship header 2

League One

Reading logo
League One | Gameweek 18
Jan 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Derby logo

Reading
1 - 0
Derby

Mukairu (54')
Mbengue (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Reading and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Reading
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Derby
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 54.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Reading had a probability of 21.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawDerby County
21.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.13% (0.0010000000000012 0)54.95% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Both teams to score 54.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.08% (0.0049999999999955 0)45.92% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.77% (0.004999999999999 0)68.23% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.88% (0.007000000000005 0.01)35.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.13% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)71.87% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.41% (0.0010000000000048 0)16.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.62% (0.00099999999999767 0)46.38%
Score Analysis
    Reading 21.91%
    Derby County 54.95%
    Draw 23.13%
ReadingDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 6.1%
2-1 @ 5.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.8%
3-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 21.91%
1-1 @ 10.95%
0-0 @ 5.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.13%
0-1 @ 10.46%
1-2 @ 9.84%
0-2 @ 9.4% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 5.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 5.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 2.65%
0-4 @ 2.53%
2-4 @ 1.39% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 0.95%
0-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 54.95%

How you voted: Reading vs Derby

Reading
18.2%
Draw
12.1%
Derby County
69.7%
33
Head to Head
Jan 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Reading
2-2
Derby
Hoilett (37', 56')
Laurent (45')
Kazim-Richards (86'), Davies (90+1')
Davies (82'), Byrne (90+6')
> Preview
Sep 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Derby
1-0
Reading
Forsyth (33')
Stearman (16'), Byrne (59'), Shinnie (74'), Lawrence (90+1')
> Preview
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 40
Reading
3-1
Derby
> Match Report
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 1
Derby
0-2
Reading

Shinnie (37'), Sibley (45+2'), Byrne (47')
Joao (40'), Ejaria (45+1')
Olise (64'), Richards (90+3')
> Match Report
Jun 27, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 39
Derby
2-1
Reading
> Match Report
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!