League One Gameweek 18
Reading
Jan 23, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
Derby
  • Paul Mukairu 54' goal
  • Amadou Mbengue 73' yellowcard

Reading vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Jan 20, 2024 3.00pm
Wigan 1 - 0 Reading
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Sam Smith

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Jan 20, 2024 3.00pm
Lincoln 0 - 0 Derby
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
James Collins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 54.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Reading had a probability of 21.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result

Reading 21.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 23.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Derby County 54.95% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.12% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 45.92% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 31.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 68.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 15.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 84.09% ▼ (-0.01)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 64.88% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 35.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 28.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 71.87% ▼ (-0.01)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 83.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 16.58%
Over 1.5 53.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 46.38%

Score analysis

Reading 21.91%
Draw 23.13%
Derby County 54.95%
Reading
1-0 @ 6.1%
2-1 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8%
3-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 21.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.95%
0-0 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.13%
Derby County
0-1 @ 10.46%
1-2 @ 9.84%
0-2 @ 9.4% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.65%
0-4 @ 2.53%
2-4 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 54.95%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 26
Reading
Jan 3, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Derby
  • Junior Hoilett 37' goal
  • Josh Laurent 45' yellowcard
  • Junior Hoilett 56' goal
  • yellowcard Curtis Davies 82'
  • goal Colin Kazim-Richards 86'
  • goal Curtis Davies 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Nathan Byrne 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 10
Derby
Sep 29, 2021 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Reading
  • Richard Stearman 16' yellowcard
  • Craig Forsyth 33' goal
  • Nathan Byrne 59' yellowcard
  • Graeme Shinnie 74' yellowcard
  • Tom Lawrence 90'+1' yellowcard
Championship Gameweek 40
Reading
Apr 5, 2021 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Madejski Stadium
Derby
  • Michael Olise 45'+1' goal
  • Liam Moore 50' yellowcard
  • George Puscas 57' goal
  • Josh Laurent 83' yellowcard
  • Lucas Joao 84' goal
  • goal Tom Lawrence 79'
Championship Gameweek 1
Derby
Sep 12, 2020 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Pride Park Stadium
Reading
  • Graeme Shinnie 37' yellowcard
  • Louie Sibley 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Nathan Byrne 47' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Joao 40'
  • goal Ovie Ejaria 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Michael Olise 64'
  • yellowcard Omar Richards 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 39
Derby
Jun 27, 2020 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
Reading
  • Tom Lawrence 13' yellowcard
  • Tom Lawrence 44' goal
  • Wayne Rooney 45'+2' goal
  • Graeme Shinnie 74' yellowcard
  • Duane Holmes 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Andy Rinomhota 62'
Championship Gameweek 23
Reading
Dec 21, 2019 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Derby
  • Charlie Adam 5' goal
  • Lucas Joao 58' goal
  • Charlie Adam 62' yellowcard
  • Tyler Blackett 82' yellowcard
  • Yakou Meite 87' goal
  • redcard Scott Malone 4'
  • yellowcard Tom Lawrence 36'
  • yellowcard Jason Knight 55'
  • yellowcard Max Lowe 60'
  • yellowcard Duane Holmes 74'
  • yellowcard Jayden Bogle 80'
  • yellowcard Louie Sibley 82'
  • yellowcard Craig Forsyth 86'

Form Data

Wigan 1 - 0 Reading
Brighton U21s 0 - 0 Reading
Reading 3 - 2 Exeter
Cheltenham 2 - 2 Reading
Peterborough 2 - 2 Reading
Reading 2 - 0 Wigan
Lincoln 0 - 0 Derby
Derby 3 - 2 Burton Albion
Derby 0 - 1 Bradford
Fleetwood 1 - 3 Derby
Derby 2 - 3 Peterborough
Oxford Utd 2 - 3 Derby