/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fbralog.png)
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Curtis Nelson
55'
-
Liam Ridehalgh
40'
-
Richie Smallwood
58'
-
Sam Stubbs
67'
-
Alex Gilliead
76'
Derby County vs Bradford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Bradford City had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Bradford City win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result
Derby County
56.19%
▼
(-0.32)
Draw
22.82%
▲
(+0.12)
Bradford City
20.99%
▲
(+0.20)
Both Teams to Score:
53.84%
▼
(-0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.34%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 2.5
45.66%
▲
(+0.26)
Over 3.5
32.02%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 3.5
67.98%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 4.5
16.09%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 4.5
83.91%
▲
(+0.18)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
83.94%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 0.5
16.06%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 1.5
54.57%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 1.5
45.43%
▲
(+0.37)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5
64.14%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 0.5
35.86%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
27.37%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
72.63%
▼
(-0.06)
Score analysis
Derby County
56.19%
Draw
22.81%
Bradford City
20.99%
Derby County
1-0
@
10.53%
▲
(+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.88% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.63% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 56.19%
2-1 @ 9.88% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.63% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 56.19%
Draw
1-1
@
10.8%
▲
(+0.07)
0-0 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.81%
0-0 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.81%
Bradford City
0-1
@
5.91%
▲
(+0.08)
1-2 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 20.99%
1-2 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 20.99%
Rory Delap
26'