League One

League One | Gameweek 29

Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK

LNER Stadium

Lincoln
0 - 0
Derby

Taylor (68'), Draper (68')

Elder (18'), Wilson (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions

Last Game: Wycombe 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Derby County

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Derby 3-2 Burton Albion
Monday, January 15 at 8pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 60.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 17.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 1-0 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Derby County
17.08% ( 0.04)	22.59% ( 0.02)	60.33% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 47.84% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.75% (

-0)

50.24% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.8% (

-0)

72.19% (

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.12% (

0.05)

42.88% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.81% (

0.04)

79.19% (

-0.04)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.75% (

-0.02)

16.24% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.23% (

-0.04)

45.77% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 17.08%

Derby County 60.32%

Draw 22.59%

Lincoln City	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.28% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 1.7% Total : 17.08%	1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.59%	0-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 11.5% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.9% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.68% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.15% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.14% 1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 60.32%