League One Gameweek 31
Oxford Utd
Feb 3, 2024 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
Reading
  • Mark Harris 32' goal
  • Tyler Goodrham 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Craig 24'
  • yellowcard Andy Yiadom 63'
  • yellowcard Femi Azeez 71'
  • goal Ciaron Brown 76' (OG)

Oxford United vs Reading - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 30, 2024 7.45pm
Oxford Utd 2 - 2 Portsmouth
Goals scored
83
Top scorer
Mark Harris

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm
Reading 1 - 1 Leyton Orient
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Sam Smith

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Reading had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result

Oxford United 46.51% ▼ (-0.14)
Draw 23.96% ▲ (+0.02)
Reading 29.53% ▲ (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.92% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.93% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 43.07% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 34.53% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 65.47% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 4.5 17.91% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 82.08% ▲ (+0.02)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 81.3% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 18.7% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 49.94% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 50.06% ▲ (+0.11)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 72.47% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 27.52% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 36.96% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 63.03% ▼ (-0.09)

Score analysis

Oxford United 46.51%
Draw 23.96%
Reading 29.53%
Oxford United
2-1 @ 9.33% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.63% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 46.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.13% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.96%
Reading
1-2 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 29.53%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 13
Reading
Dec 12, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
Oxford Utd
  • Michael Craig 19' yellowcard
  • Sam Smith 43' goal
  • Tom Holmes 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Thorniley 37'
  • goal Ciaron Brown 39'

Form Data

Oxford Utd 2 - 2 Portsmouth
Bristol Rovers 3 - 1 Oxford Utd
Oxford Utd 0 - 1 Barnsley
Carlisle 1 - 3 Oxford Utd
AFC Wimbledon 2 - 0 Oxford Utd
Coventry 6 - 2 Oxford Utd
Reading 1 - 1 Leyton Orient
Reading 1 - 0 Derby
Wigan 1 - 0 Reading
Brighton U21s 0 - 0 Reading
Reading 3 - 2 Exeter
Cheltenham 2 - 2 Reading