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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Reading |
| 33.21% ( | 24.8% ( | 41.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.65% ( | 45.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.31% ( | 67.69% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.71% ( | 26.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.58% ( | 61.42% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.38% ( | 21.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.27% ( | 54.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Reading |
| 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 1-0 @ 7.59% ( 2-0 @ 5.07% ( 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 3-0 @ 2.26% ( 4-1 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 3.26% Total : 33.21% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 3-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0-2 @ 6.67% ( 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0-3 @ 3.4% ( 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0-4 @ 1.3% ( 2-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 41.98% |