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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Lincoln
2 - 1
Fleetwood

House (53'), Sorensen (57')
O'Connor (19'), House (45+2'), Erhahon (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Omochere (34')
Lawal (41'), Stockley (45+2')
Lawal (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Lincoln
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Fleetwood
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 39%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawFleetwood Town
39% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)26.65% (0.015999999999998 0.02)34.35% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.85% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.89% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)53.1% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.31% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)74.68% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.4% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)26.6% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.17% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)61.83% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.65% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.67% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)65.33% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 38.99%
    Fleetwood Town 34.35%
    Draw 26.65%
Lincoln CityDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.85% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 38.99%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.81% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.57% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.77% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.87% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 34.35%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Fleetwood

Lincoln City
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
Fleetwood Town
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Fleetwood
0-1
Lincoln

Simons (36'), Robertson (89'), Vela (90+11')
Nsiala (90+6')
Mitchell (6')
Jensen (36'), Hamilton (43'), Sorensen (45'), Adelakun (90+2')
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Fleetwood
2-1
Lincoln
Jackson (16' og.), Stockley (73')
Poole (45+5')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Lincoln
2-2
Fleetwood
Bishop (6', 14')
Roughan (33'), Hopper (59'), House (62')
Lane (32'), Garner (90+3')
Nsiala (30'), Lynch (59'), Earl (60'), Lane (81')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Fleetwood
1-1
Lincoln
Batty (31')
Clarke (22'), Butterworth (90+2')
Fiorini (64')
Walsh (21'), McGrandles (35'), Jackson (78')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Lincoln
2-1
Fleetwood
Scully (69', 87' pen.)
Melbourne (31'), Edun (64'), Bishop (75')
Andrew (32')
Matete (7'), Clark (74'), Hill (86')