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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 39%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 39% ( | 26.65% ( | 34.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.89% ( | 53.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.31% ( | 74.68% ( |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.4% ( | 26.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.17% ( | 61.83% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.65% ( | 29.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.67% ( | 65.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 4-0 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.99% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 9.57% ( 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0-2 @ 5.87% ( 1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 1-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 34.35% |