League One Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Fratton Park
  • Kusini Yengi 45'+3' goal
  • Kusini Yengi 63' goal
  • Myles Peart-Harris 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mark Helm 14'
  • yellowcard John Brayford 24'
  • yellowcard Max Crocombe 34'
  • goal John Brayford 80'
  • yellowcard Mustapha Carayol 83'
  • yellowcard Ryan Sweeney 90'+3'

Portsmouth vs Burton Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
Blackpool 0 - 0 Portsmouth
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Colby Bishop

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
Burton Albion 1 - 3 Peterborough
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Mark Helm

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 64.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 14.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result

Portsmouth 64.99% (+0.09)
Draw 20.42% (-0.07)
Burton Albion 14.58% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.01% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.25% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 45.74% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 31.94% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 68.06% (-0.20)
Over 4.5 16.03% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 83.97% (-0.15)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5 86.7% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 13.29% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 59.88% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 40.12% (-0.19)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 56.52% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 43.47% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 20.31% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 79.69% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Portsmouth 64.98%
Draw 20.42%
Burton Albion 14.58%
Portsmouth
2-0 @ 11.76% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 11.66% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.8% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.92% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.59% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 3.99% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.33% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.75% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.61% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.39% (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.34% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 64.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.78% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.08% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 20.42%
Burton Albion
0-1 @ 4.81% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 4.05% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.01% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 14.58%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 20
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Kwadwo Baah 19' yellowcard
  • Steve Seddon 71' yellowcard
  • Steve Seddon 90' redcard
  • goal Colby Bishop 38'
  • goal Alex Robertson 63'
League One Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Fratton Park
  • Dane Scarlett 90'+2' goal
League One Gameweek 9
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • goal Sam Hughes 59' (OG)
  • goal Colby Bishop 87'
League One Gameweek 32
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Sean Raggett 5' yellowcard
  • Sean Raggett 33' goal
  • Ronan Curtis 34' yellowcard
  • Michael Jacobs 41' goal
  • yellowcard Michael Mancienne 18'
  • yellowcard Joe Powell 29'
  • yellowcard Terry Taylor 47'
  • goal Gassan Ahadme 50'
  • yellowcard Harry Chapman 90'+6'
League One Gameweek 10
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Thomas O'Connor 32' goal
  • Jonny Smith 36' yellowcard
  • Charlie Lakin 49' yellowcard
  • Daniel Jebbison 60' goal
  • Daniel Jebbison 63' yellowcard
  • goal Recco Hackett-Fairchild 64'
  • yellowcard Sean Raggett 83'
  • yellowcard Lee Brown 85'
  • yellowcard Recco Hackett-Fairchild 86'
  • yellowcard Marcus Harness 90'+2'
League One Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Fratton Park
  • Charlie Daniels 88' goal
  • yellowcard Sean Clare 40'
  • goal Mike Fondop 45'
  • goal Joe Powell 47'