League One Gameweek 33
Burton Albion
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
Carlisle
  • yellowcard Jack Diamond 12'
  • goal Paul Huntington 27'
  • yellowcard Josh Vela 86'

Burton Albion vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
Burton Albion 0 - 2 Northampton
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Mark Helm

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
Bristol Rovers 2 - 1 Carlisle
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jordan Gibson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

Burton Albion 40.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 26.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Carlisle United 32.46% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.22% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 53.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 24.8% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 75.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 11.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 88.77% ▼ (-0.02)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 74.11%
Under 0.5 25.89% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 39.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 60.88% ▼ (-0.01)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 69.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 30.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 32.82% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 67.18% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Burton Albion 40.81%
Draw 26.71%
Carlisle United 32.46%
Burton Albion
1-0 @ 10.8% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.58% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.86%
3-0 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.31%
4-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 40.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 8% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.71%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 9.4% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.46%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 15
Carlisle
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Brunton Park
Burton Albion
  • Jordan Gibson 53' goal
  • Joe Garner 77' yellowcard
  • Joe Garner 88' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Hamer 25'
  • yellowcard Dino Maamria 26'
  • goal Mark Helm 28'
  • yellowcard Mark Helm 36'
  • yellowcard Beryly Lubala 77'
League Two
Burton Albion
Apr 15, 2015 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Carlisle
  • Denny Johnstone 98' goal
  • goal Danny Grainger 2'
  • yellowcard Nathan Buddle 69'
League Two
Carlisle
Oct 21, 2014 7.45pm
3
4
HT : 2 4
FT
Burton Albion
  • Kyle Dempsey 12' goal
  • Brad Potts 45' goal
  • Hayden White 51' yellowcard
  • Derek Asamoah 65' goal
  • goal Damien McCrory 5'
  • goal Lee Bell 27'
  • goal Jacob Blyth 40'
  • goal Alex MacDonald 45'
  • yellowcard Alex MacDonald 51'
  • yellowcard Stuart Beavon 58'
  • redcard Stuart Beavon 90'

Form Data

Burton Albion 0 - 2 Northampton
Leyton Orient 1 - 2 Burton Albion
Bristol Rovers 1 - 2 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 0 - 1 Lincoln
Cambridge 0 - 0 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 2 - 0 Charlton
Bristol Rovers 2 - 1 Carlisle
Carlisle 0 - 4 Cambridge
Carlisle 0 - 1 Portsmouth
Leyton Orient 3 - 2 Carlisle
Carlisle 1 - 4 Bolton
Barnsley 2 - 1 Carlisle

Build-up

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