League One

League One | Gameweek 33

Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
0 - 1
Carlisle

FT(HT: 0-1)

Huntington (27')
Diamond (12'), Vela (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Northampton
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Carlisle
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Carlisle United
40.82% ( -0.41)	26.72% ( -0.17)	32.46% ( 0.58)

Both teams to score 51.22% (

0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.28% (

0.84)

53.72% (

-0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.8% (

0.7)

75.2% (

-0.71)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.11% (

0.17)

25.89% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.12% (

0.23)

60.88% (

-0.23)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.11% (

0.83)

30.89% (

-0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.82% (

0.96)

67.18% (

-0.96)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 40.81%

Carlisle United 32.46%

Draw 26.71%

Burton Albion	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 40.81%	1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.71%	0-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.46%