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Championship header 2

League One

Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 34
Feb 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Cambridge United

Carlisle
0 - 4
Cambridge


Mellish (45+4'), Butterworth (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kaikai (14'), Lavelle (69' og.), Kachunga (72'), Bennett (83')
Taylor (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One

Cambridge United

All competitions
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Cambridge
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Cambridge United has a probability of 32.5% and a draw has a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Cambridge United win is 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.58%).

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawCambridge United
41.03% (-0.372 -0.37)26.47% (-0.197 -0.2)32.5% (0.563 0.56)
Both teams to score 52.01% (0.802 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.29% (0.941 0.94)52.7% (-0.947 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.65% (0.8 0.8)74.34% (-0.804 -0.8)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.68% (0.232 0.23)25.32% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.9% (0.321 0.32)60.09% (-0.327 -0.33)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.64% (0.85599999999999 0.86)30.36% (-0.86 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.45% (1.01 1.01)66.54% (-1.014 -1.01)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 41.03%
    Cambridge United 32.5%
    Draw 26.46%
Carlisle UnitedDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 10.55% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.25% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.32% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 41.03%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.69% (-0.291 -0.29)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.121 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 9.16% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.5% (0.126 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.46% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.118 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 32.5%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Cambridge
1-0
Carlisle
Thomas (73')
Lankester (30'), Bennett (37')

Armer (47')
Armer (83'), McCalmont (90+2')
> Preview
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 38
Carlisle
1-2
Cambridge
Alessandra (78')
Hayden (24'), Furman (28'), Zanzala (68')
Mullin (45+2'), May (90')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 1
Cambridge
3-0
Carlisle
Hannant (9'), Mullin (16'), Ironside (86')
Digby (45+3')

Patrick (45+3'), Guy (76'), Toure (88'), Mellish (89')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 36
Cambridge
1-2
Carlisle
Lambe (82')
Roles (78')
Alessandra (27'), Anderton (73')
Hayden (59'), Webster (64'), McKirdy (80'), Charters (89'), Olomola (90')
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 19
Carlisle
0-0
Cambridge
Loft (29'), Carroll (70')
Hannant (26'), Lewis (39'), Smith (83')