League One Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Josh Vela 29' yellowcard
  • goal Patrick Lane 62'

Carlisle United vs Portsmouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
Leyton Orient 3 - 2 Carlisle
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jordan Gibson

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last game
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
Portsmouth 4 - 1 Northampton
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Colby Bishop

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 58.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 18.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.78%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Portsmouth in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.

Result

Carlisle United 18.69% (-0.02)
Draw 22.9% (+0.01)
Portsmouth 58.41% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.86% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.9% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 49.1% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 28.83% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 71.17% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 13.87% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 86.13% (+0.03)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 59.72% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 40.28% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 23.09% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 76.91% (+0.04)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5 83.49% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 16.51% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 53.76% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 46.24% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Carlisle United 18.69%
Draw 22.9%
Portsmouth 58.4%
Carlisle United
1-0 @ 6.05% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 4.95% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.75% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.5% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 18.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.89%
0-0 @ 6.65% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 22.9%
Portsmouth
0-1 @ 11.97% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 10.78% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.81% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.48% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.89% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.65% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 58.4%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 14
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Fratton Park
  • Joe Rafferty 78' yellowcard
  • Conor Shaughnessy 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Alfie McCalmont 48'
  • yellowcard Callum Guy 70'
  • yellowcard Joe Garner 73'
League Two
Feb 25, 2017 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • John O'Sullivan 40' yellowcard
  • Tom Miller 61' yellowcard
  • goal Gary Roberts 73'
  • goal Amine Linganzi 86'
  • goal Jack Whatmough 92'
League Two
Aug 6, 2016 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Carl Baker 42' goal
  • goal Reggie Lambe 14'
  • yellowcard Jamie Devitt 19'
  • redcard Jamie Devitt 28'
  • yellowcard Mark Gillespie 73'
League Two
Apr 2, 2016 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Enda Stevens 44' yellowcard
  • Michael Smith 57' goal
  • yellowcard Michael Raynes 73'
League Two
Nov 21, 2015 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Danny Grainger 44' goal
  • Gary Dicker 85' yellowcard
  • Danny Grainger 95' goal
  • goal Caolan Lavery 66'
  • goal Marc McNulty 68'
  • yellowcard Caolan Lavery 94'
League Two
Apr 3, 2015 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Kyle Dempsey 2' goal
  • Charlie Wyke 95' goal
  • goal Jed Wallace 38'
  • goal Matt Tubbs 45'