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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Burton Albion
2 - 0
Charlton

Helm (24'), Brayford (47')
Bennett (5'), Helm (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thomas (35'), May (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Peterborough
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Charlton Athletic

There is little doubt that Charlton possess more individual talent, particularly in offensive areas, but their confidence levels are likely to be low having lost four of their last five league games. Burton are not in great form themselves, but they have remained consistent at home and are fighting to impress their new manager. As such, we expect the hosts to avoid defeat as a worst case scenario, but Charlton should have enough firepower to get something out of the game. A score draw feels the likeliest outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCharlton Athletic
33.78% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 24.85% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 41.38% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.8% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.61% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)45.39% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.27% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)67.73% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)25.97% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.01% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)60.99% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)21.92% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81% (-0.052 -0.05)55.2% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 33.78%
    Charlton Athletic 41.38%
    Draw 24.85%
Burton AlbionDrawCharlton Athletic
2-1 @ 7.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 7.68% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 33.78%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.85%
1-2 @ 8.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.47% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.32% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.7% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 41.38%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Charlton

Burton Albion
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Charlton Athletic
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Charlton
1-1
Burton Albion
Jones (19')
Dobson (63'), Jones (78')
Sweeney (90+1')
Carayol (67'), Kamwa (87')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Charlton
3-2
Burton Albion
Rak-Sakyi (7', 17'), Bonne (50')
Hughes (45+2'), Walker (76')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Burton Albion
3-3
Charlton
Oshilaja (38'), Hamer (45'), Adeboyejo (58')
Kirk (26', 36'), Rak-Sakyi (75')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Charlton
2-0
Burton Albion
Washington (12'), Taylor (42')

Hamer (9'), Niasse (32'), Oshilaja (47'), Shaughnessy (55'), Gilligan (65'), Chapman (79')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Burton Albion
0-1
Charlton

Hemmings (41')
Oshilaja (18')
Purrington (20')
Lee (28'), Jaiyesimi (31'), Famewo (45+4'), Arter (46')
Stockley (17')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
5.30pm
Swiatek
Sabalenka
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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