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Championship header 2

League One

Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Burton Albion
2 - 0
Charlton

Helm (24'), Brayford (47')
Bennett (5'), Bennett (5'), Helm (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thomas (35'), May (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Derby 3-2 Burton Albion
Monday, January 15 at 8pm in League One

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Peterborough
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCharlton Athletic
33.78% (0.015000000000001 0.02)24.85% (0.013000000000002 0.01)41.38% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.8% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.61% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)45.39% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.27% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)67.73% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)25.97% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.01% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)60.99% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)21.92% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81% (-0.052 -0.05)55.2% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 33.78%
    Charlton Athletic 41.38%
    Draw 24.85%
Burton AlbionDrawCharlton Athletic
2-1 @ 7.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 7.68% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 33.78%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.85%
1-2 @ 8.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.47% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.32% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.7% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 41.38%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Charlton

Burton Albion
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Charlton Athletic
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Charlton
1-1
Burton Albion
Jones (19')
Dobson (63'), Jones (78')
Sweeney (90+1')
Carayol (67'), Kamwa (87')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Charlton
3-2
Burton Albion
Rak-Sakyi (7', 17'), Bonne (50')
Hughes (45+2'), Walker (76')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Burton Albion
3-3
Charlton
Oshilaja (38'), Hamer (45'), Adeboyejo (58')
Kirk (26', 36'), Rak-Sakyi (75')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Charlton
2-0
Burton Albion
Washington (12'), Taylor (42')

Hamer (9'), Niasse (32'), Oshilaja (47'), Shaughnessy (55'), Gilligan (65'), Chapman (79')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Burton Albion
0-1
Charlton

Hemmings (41')
Oshilaja (18')
Purrington (20')
Lee (28'), Jaiyesimi (31'), Famewo (45+4'), Arter (46')
Stockley (17')
> Preview