EFL Trophy | Third Round

Jan 10, 2024 at 7pm UK

Bloomfield Road (Blackpool, Lancashire)

Blackpool
2 - 1
Burton Albion

Virtue (4'), Ekpiteta (67')
Dale (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Scott (71')
Brayford (69'), Sweeney (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Trophy clash between Blackpool and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackpool

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-2 Blackpool
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burton Albion

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-1 Wycombe
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 63.34%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Blackpool in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Blackpool.

Result
Blackpool	Draw	Burton Albion
63.34% ( 0.46)	20.39% ( -0.04)	16.27% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 53.16% (

-0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.74% (

-0.56)

42.26% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.33% (

-0.57)

64.67% (

0.57)

Blackpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.29% (

-0.04)

12.7% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.09% (

-0.09)

38.91% (

0.09)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.9% (

-0.85)

39.1% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.18% (

-0.81)

75.81% (

0.81)

Score Analysis

Blackpool 63.33%

Burton Albion 16.27%

Draw 20.39%

Blackpool	Draw	Burton Albion
2-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.36% Total : 63.33%	1-1 @ 9.62% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.39%	0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.02% Total : 16.27%