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League One
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 35
Feb 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Carlisle United

Bristol Rovers
2 - 1
Carlisle

Martin (34'), Sinclair (51')
Hunt (22'), Thomas (50'), Marquis (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vela (16')
Neal (56'), Armstrong (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 3-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 0-4 Cambridge
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 3-1 Carlisle United

 Having lost seven of their last 10 matches, Bristol Rovers will be relishing facing the worst team in the division on recent form. We can envisage them cutting loose with a few goals and a comfortable victory. Carlisle have lost seven successive games and appear doomed for an instant return to League Two, but they are likely to stick with club legend Simpson after defying the odds to reach this level of the footballing pyramid in the first place. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 55.75%. A draw has a probability of 23% and a win for Carlisle United has a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Carlisle United win it is 0-1 (6.03%).

Result
Bristol RoversDrawCarlisle United
55.75% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 23% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 21.25% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.62% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)46.14% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)68.44% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)16.38% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.98% (-0.012 -0.01)46.02% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.12% (0.029000000000011 0.03)35.88% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.34% (0.030000000000001 0.03)72.65% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 55.75%
    Carlisle United 21.25%
    Draw 22.99%
Bristol RoversDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.63%
2-1 @ 9.86%
2-0 @ 9.62% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 5.8% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.62% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38%
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 55.75%
1-1 @ 10.89%
0-0 @ 5.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.99%
0-1 @ 6.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 5.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 21.25%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Carlisle

Bristol Rovers
80.0%
Draw
13.3%
Carlisle United
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Carlisle
0-1
Bristol Rovers

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Lavelle (38' og.)
Woods (14'), Friend (45+2'), Collins (51')
Crama (73')
> Preview
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Carlisle
1-0
Bristol Rovers
Dennis (72')
Armer (65'), Dickenson (90+6'), Dennis (90+6'), Patrick (90+7')

Taylor (90+6'), Saunders (90+8')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Carlisle
Evans (35'), Nicholson (86'), Saunders (90+4')
Harries (23'), Saunders (76'), Thomas (88'), Whelan (90')

Feeney (16'), Devine (26'), Alessandra (38'), Armer (60'), Guy (61'), Mellish (74')
> Preview
Mar 28, 2016 3pm
Carlisle
3-2
Bristol Rovers
Stacey (11'), Wyke (49'), Kennedy (85')
Miller (74'), Ibehre (90'), Ellis (90')
Bodin (27'), Taylor (57')
Parkes (51'), Lines (72')
Nov 14, 2015 3pm
Bristol Rovers
2-0
Carlisle
Taylor (66', 87')
Sinclair (9'), Brown (52'), McChrystal (55'), Parkes (93')
rhs 2.0
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