League One Gameweek 31
Exeter
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT St James Park
Bristol Rovers
  • Cheick Diabate 45' yellowcard
  • goal Brandon Aguilera 15'
  • yellowcard James Wilson 17'
  • yellowcard Jack Hunt 64'
  • yellowcard Tristan Crama 80'

Exeter City vs Bristol Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm
Barnsley 1 - 2 Exeter
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Jack Aitchison

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm
Bristol Rovers 3 - 1 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Chris Martin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result

Exeter City 40.53% ▲ (+0.84)
Draw 25.15% ▲ (+0.13)
Bristol Rovers 34.32% ▼ (-0.96)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.89% ▼ (-0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.36% ▼ (-0.72)
Under 2.5 46.64% ▲ (+0.72)
Over 3.5 31.09% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 3.5 68.9% ▲ (+0.69)
Over 4.5 15.43% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 4.5 84.57% ▲ (+0.49)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 77.13% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 22.87% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 1.5 43.38% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 56.62% ▼ (-0.15)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 73.76% ▼ (-0.90)
Under 0.5 26.24% ▲ (+0.90)
Over 1.5 38.65% ▼ (-1.22)
Under 1.5 61.35% ▲ (+1.22)

Score analysis

Exeter City 40.53%
Draw 25.14%
Bristol Rovers 34.32%
Exeter City
1-0 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.30)
2-1 @ 8.74% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.24)
3-1 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 40.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.84% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 6% ▲ (+0.18)
2-2 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.14%
Bristol Rovers
0-1 @ 8.03% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.15)
0-2 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.12)
1-3 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.16)
2-3 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.12)
1-4 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 34.32%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 13
Bristol Rovers
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Memorial Stadium
Exeter
  • Antony Evans 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Sonny Cox 12'
  • yellowcard Reece Cole 77'
  • yellowcard Yanic Wildschut 90'+7'
League One Gameweek 24
Bristol Rovers
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
3
4
HT : 0 2
FT Memorial Stadium
Exeter
  • Aaron Collins 57' goal
  • Josh Coburn 64' goal
  • Scott Sinclair 74' goal
  • goal Sam Nombe 13'
  • goal Archie Collins 45'+2'
  • goal Timothee Dieng 85'
  • goal Sam Nombe 90'+2'
League One Gameweek 12
Exeter
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Bristol Rovers
  • Jevani Brown 72' goal
  • Sam Nombe 82' goal
  • goal John Marquis 63'
  • goal Ryan Loft 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 34
Bristol Rovers
Feb 26, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Exeter
  • Luca Hoole 10' goal
  • goal Jevani Brown 24'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Grounds 90'
EFL Trophy
Exeter
Nov 10, 2021 7.00pm
5
3
HT : 5 0
FT
Bristol Rovers
  • Josh Coley 2' goal
  • Timothee Dieng 4' goal
  • Padraig Amond 12' goal
  • Padraig Amond 38' goal
  • Josh Coley 44' goal
  • Pierce Sweeney 76' yellowcard
  • Colin Daniel 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo Martinez 24'
  • goal Zain Westbrooke 61'
  • goal Ryan Jones 72'
  • yellowcard Ryan Jones 74'
  • yellowcard Tyron Mbuenimo 81'
  • goal Nick Anderton 88'
League Two Gameweek 4
Exeter
Aug 21, 2021 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 4 0
FT
Bristol Rovers
  • Matt Jay 3' goal
  • Matt Jay 15' goal
  • Timothee Dieng 22' goal
  • Harry Kite 24' goal
  • Owura Edwards 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Baldwin 24'
  • yellowcard Sam Finley 59'
  • goal Sam Finley 70'

Form Data

Barnsley 1 - 2 Exeter
Bristol Rovers 0 - 1 Exeter
Exeter 0 - 0 Cambridge
Blackpool 2 - 0 Exeter
Exeter 2 - 1 Carlisle
Reading 3 - 2 Exeter
Bristol Rovers 3 - 1 Oxford Utd
Bristol Rovers 0 - 1 Exeter
Bristol Rovers 1 - 2 Blackpool
Bristol Rovers 1 - 3 Norwich
Barnsley 2 - 1 Bristol Rovers
Norwich 1 - 1 Bristol Rovers