League One

League One | Gameweek 30

Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK

Oakwell Stadium

Barnsley
1 - 2
Exeter

Durand de Gevigney (87')
Cotter (58')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Aitchison (17'), Cole (30')
Watts (83'), Hartridge (90+2'), Aitchison (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Barnsley
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-1 Exeter
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 65.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 14.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Exeter City
65.51% ( 0.02)	19.79% ( -0.01)	14.7% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 51.43% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.31% (

0.02)

42.68% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.91% (

0.01)

65.09% (

-0.01)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.78% (

0.01)

12.22% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.1% (

0.02)

37.9% (

-0.02)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.58% (

-0)

41.42% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.07% (

-0)

77.92% (

Score Analysis

Barnsley 65.5%

Exeter City 14.7%

Draw 19.79%

Barnsley	Draw	Exeter City
2-0 @ 11.18% 1-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 7.84% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.12% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.63% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.04% 5-0 @ 1.73% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 65.5%	1-1 @ 9.38% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0) Other @ 1.01% Total : 19.79%	0-1 @ 4.46% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.13% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.97% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.28% 1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 1.65% Total : 14.7%