League One

League One | Gameweek 37

Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
1 - 3
Peterborough

Ola-Adebomi (70')
Oshilaja (46'), Hamer (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jade-Jones (56'), Knight (88'), Clarke-Harris (90+6')
Katongo (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Peterborough United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Peterborough 5-1 Northampton
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 62%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.06%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Peterborough United
16.62% ( -0.16)	21.38% ( -0.1)	62% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 50.64% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.99% (

0.15)

46.01% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.69% (

0.14)

68.32% (

-0.13)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.08% (

-0.12)

40.92% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.52% (

-0.11)

77.49% (

0.12)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.72% (

0.14)

14.29% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.92% (

0.26)

42.08% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 16.62%

Peterborough United 61.99%

Draw 21.38%

Burton Albion	Draw	Peterborough United
1-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 16.62%	1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 21.38%	0-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 11.06% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.18% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 6.42% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 3.49% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.12% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 61.99%