League One Gameweek 27
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT Weston Homes Stadium
  • Ephron Mason-Clark 25' goal
  • Kwame Poku 28' goal
  • Joel Randall 45' goal
  • Hector Kyprianou 59' goal
  • Josh Knight 64' goal
  • Malik Mothersille 75' yellowcard
  • goal Jon Guthrie 9'
  • yellowcard Kieron Bowie 39'

Peterborough United vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
Peterborough 2 - 1 Exeter
Goals scored
90
Top scorer
Ephron Mason-Clark

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
Northampton 1 - 1 Charlton
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Sam Hoskins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 72.81%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 11.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 3-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result

Peterborough United 72.81% (+0.01)
Draw 16.06% (-0.01)
Northampton Town 11.12% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.08% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.13% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 33.86% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 44.29% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 55.71% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 25.69% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 74.31% (-0.01)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5 91.94% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 8.06% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 71.65% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 28.35% (-0.01)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 58.82% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 41.18% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 22.29% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 77.71% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Peterborough United 72.81%
Draw 16.06%
Northampton Town 11.12%
Peterborough United
2-0 @ 10.52%
2-1 @ 9.34%
3-0 @ 8.83% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.36% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.84% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 5.56% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.94%
3-2 @ 3.48% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.8% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.49% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.18%
5-2 @ 1.1%
6-1 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 72.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.41% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.32% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 16.06%
Northampton Town
1-2 @ 3.29% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 2.94% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.31%
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 11.12%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Mitchell Pinnock 90' goal
  • Sam Hoskins 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Archie Collins 17'
  • yellowcard Peter Kioso 82'
League One Gameweek 42
Apr 16, 2021 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT ABAX Stadium
  • Sammie Szmodics 33' goal
  • Mark Beevers 42' yellowcard
  • Sammie Szmodics 48' goal
  • Jonson Clarke-Harris 67' goal
  • goal Sam Hoskins 43'
  • yellowcard Shaun McWilliams 56'
  • yellowcard Danny Rose 79'
  • yellowcard Lloyd Jones 90'+4'
League One Gameweek 5
Oct 10, 2020 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT PTS ACADEMY STADIUM
  • Sam Hoskins 51' yellowcard
  • Ricky Korboa 73' yellowcard
  • Ryan Watson 85' yellowcard
  • goal Nathan Thompson 33'
  • goal Reece Brown 80'
EFL Trophy Gameweek 2
Sep 3, 2019 7.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Scott Wharton 29' yellowcard
  • goal Idris Kanu 21'
  • goal Siriki Dembele 24'
  • yellowcard Nathan Thompson 63'
League One
Apr 2, 2018 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jack Baldwin 12' goal
  • Jack Marriott 14' goal
  • Marcus Maddison 47' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Powell 20'
  • yellowcard Sam Hoskins 45'
  • yellowcard Matt Grimes 71'
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 78'
  • redcard Ash Taylor 79'
  • yellowcard Kevin van Veen 85'
  • yellowcard Shay Facey 93'
Oct 3, 2017 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Anthony Grant 17' yellowcard
  • Ricky Miller 41' yellowcard
  • Danny Lloyd 43' goal
  • Leonardo Da Silva Lopes 94' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Billy Waters 51'
  • goal Jack Baldwin 79' (OG)
  • yellowcard Matt Grimes 94'