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Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 27
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Northampton Town

Peterborough
5 - 1
Northampton

Mason-Clark (25'), Poku (28'), Randall (45'), Kyprianou (59'), Knight (64')
Mothersille (75')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Guthrie (9')
Bowie (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Northampton 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-1 Northampton Town

Peterborough are starting to build momentum thanks to a three-game winning run, and we think that they will continue their encouraging spell of form by claiming a narrow victory in Tuesday's home fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 72.81%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 11.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 3-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
72.81% (0.0079999999999956 0.01) 16.06% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 11.12% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 54.08% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)33.86% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.29% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)55.71% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)8.06% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.65% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)28.35% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.82% (0.0020000000000024 0)41.18% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.29% (0.0010000000000012 0)77.71% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 72.81%
    Northampton Town 11.12%
    Draw 16.06%
Peterborough UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
2-0 @ 10.52%
2-1 @ 9.34%
3-0 @ 8.83% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.36% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 5.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.94%
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.18%
5-2 @ 1.1%
6-1 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 72.81%
1-1 @ 7.41% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 16.06%
1-2 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 2.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.31%
2-3 @ 1.23%
1-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 11.12%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Northampton

Peterborough United
86.2%
Draw
6.9%
Northampton Town
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Northampton
1-0
Peterborough
Pinnock (90')
Hoskins (90+2')

Collins (17'), Kioso (82')
Apr 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 42
Peterborough
3-1
Northampton
Szmodics (33', 48'), Clarke-Harris (67' pen.)
Beevers (42')
Hoskins (43' pen.)
McWilliams (56'), Rose (79'), Jones (90+4')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Northampton
0-2
Peterborough

Hoskins (51'), Korboa (73'), Watson (85')
Thompson (33'), Brown (80')
Sep 3, 2019 7.30pm
Group Stage
Northampton
0-2
Peterborough

Wharton (29')
Kanu (21'), Dembele (24')
Thompson (63')
Apr 2, 2018 3pm
Peterborough
2-0
Northampton
Baldwin (12'), Marriott (14')
Maddison (47')

Powell (20'), Hoskins (45'), Grimes (71'), Crooks (78'), van Veen (85'), Facey (93')
Taylor (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth452713576413594
2Derby CountyDerby452781076373989
3Bolton WanderersBolton452511983483586
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough452581286582883
5Barnsley4521121281631875
6Lincoln CityLincoln4520141165382774
7Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4521111377552274
8Blackpool4521101463451873
9Stevenage4518141355451068
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe451614155955462
11Leyton Orient451711175054-462
12Exeter CityExeter451710184559-1461
13Wigan AthleticWigan451910166156559
14Northampton TownNorthampton45178205665-959
15Bristol Rovers45169205266-1457
16Charlton AthleticCharlton451120146464053
17Reading451511196568-350
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury45139233464-3048
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge451211223961-2247
20Burton Albion451210233964-2546
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham45128254063-2344
RFleetwood TownFleetwood45913234672-2640
RPort Vale451010254174-3340
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4579294179-3830


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