League One

League One | Gameweek 27

Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough
5 - 1
Northampton

Mason-Clark (25'), Poku (28'), Randall (45'), Kyprianou (59'), Knight (64')
Mothersille (75')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Guthrie (9')
Bowie (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Northampton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Northampton 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 72.81%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 11.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 3-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	Northampton Town
72.81% ( 0.01)	16.06% ( -0)	11.12% ( -0)

Both teams to score 54.08% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.13% (

0.01)

33.86% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.29% (

0.01)

55.71% (

-0.01)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.94% (

8.06% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.65% (

0.01)

28.35% (

-0)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.82% (

41.18% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.29% (

77.71% (

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 72.81%

Northampton Town 11.12%

Draw 16.06%

Peterborough United	Draw	Northampton Town
2-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 9.34% 3-0 @ 8.83% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.36% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.84% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.56% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.94% 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.8% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.49% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.19% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.18% 5-2 @ 1.1% 6-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 72.81%	1-1 @ 7.41% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.32% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.16% Total : 16.06%	1-2 @ 3.29% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.94% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.23% 1-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.38% Total : 11.12%