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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 22.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.26%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 22.11% ( | 25.56% | 52.32% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.61% ( | 55.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.41% | 76.59% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.74% ( | 40.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.11% ( | 76.88% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.79% ( | 21.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.9% ( | 54.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 7.77% 2-1 @ 5.48% 2-0 @ 3.53% 3-1 @ 1.66% ( 3-2 @ 1.29% 3-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.31% Total : 22.11% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 8.54% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 13.24% ( 0-2 @ 10.26% 1-2 @ 9.34% 0-3 @ 5.31% 1-3 @ 4.83% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-4 @ 2.06% ( 1-4 @ 1.87% Other @ 3.21% Total : 52.32% |