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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
| 48.86% ( | 22.78% ( | 28.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.74% ( | 38.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.47% ( | 60.53% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.04% ( | 15.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.76% ( | 45.23% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.12% ( | 25.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.14% ( | 60.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 1-0 @ 7.58% ( 2-0 @ 6.95% ( 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 3-0 @ 4.25% ( 3-2 @ 3.89% ( 4-1 @ 2.64% ( 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 5-1 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 3.7% Total : 48.86% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 3-3 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.78% | 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0-2 @ 3.77% ( 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 2-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.37% Total : 28.35% |