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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 52.49%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 52.49% ( | 23.12% ( | 24.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.28% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.8% ( | 43.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.4% ( | 65.6% ( |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.53% ( | 16.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.81% ( | 46.19% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.58% ( | 31.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.21% ( | 67.8% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 1-0 @ 9.34% ( 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 3-1 @ 5.86% ( 3-0 @ 5.06% ( 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 4-1 @ 2.64% ( 4-0 @ 2.28% ( 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 5-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 3.29% Total : 52.49% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 3-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0-2 @ 3.47% ( 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0-3 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 24.39% |