League One

League One | Gameweek 39

Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
0 - 2
Oxford Utd

Lowe (20'), Clark (28')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Brown (16'), Murphy (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Bolton 5-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, March 12 at 8pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Oxford United
42.48% ( -0)	25.32% ( 0)	32.21%

Both teams to score 55.66% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.06% (

-0)

47.94% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.88% (

-0)

70.12% (

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.51% (

-0)

22.5% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.95% (

-0)

56.06% (

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.82% (

-0)

28.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.12% (

-0)

63.88%

Score Analysis

Port Vale 42.48%

Oxford United 32.21%

Draw 25.31%

Port Vale	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 9.46% 2-1 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 7.06% 3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 42.48%	1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 5.08% 1-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.76% Total : 32.21%