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Championship header 2

League One

Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 35
Feb 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Lincoln City

Port Vale
0 - 2
Lincoln


Ojo (14'), Sang (68'), Massey (75'), Debrah (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Taylor (2'), Hackett (90+3' pen.)
O'Connor (20'), (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last Game: Reading 2-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, February 20 at 8pm in League One

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last Game: Lincoln 1-0 Exeter
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Port Vale win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Lincoln City has a probability of 33.28% and a draw has a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Lincoln City win is 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.92%).

Result
Port ValeDrawLincoln City
39.45% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)27.28% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)33.28% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 49.69% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.25% (0.051000000000002 0.05)55.75% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.11% (0.040999999999997 0.04)76.89% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.41%27.59% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.88%63.12% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.63% (0.063000000000002 0.06)31.37% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.26% (0.073999999999998 0.07)67.74% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 39.44%
    Lincoln City 33.27%
    Draw 27.28%
Port ValeDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 11.14% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 39.44%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 8.66% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 10.03%
1-2 @ 7.49% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.25% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 33.27%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Lincoln

Port Vale
26.7%
Draw
20.0%
Lincoln City
53.3%
15
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Lincoln
1-1
Port Vale
Shodipo (90+3')
O'Connor (53')
Garrity (34')
Arblaster (26'), Garrity (69')
Arblaster (47')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Lincoln
3-2
Port Vale
Sorensen (11'), House (42'), Jackson (87')
Taylor (30' pen.), Butterworth (33')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Port Vale
1-0
Lincoln
Butterworth (68')
> Preview
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Lincoln
1-1
Port Vale
McCartan (58')
Eardley (43')
Oyeleke (90')
Kay (17'), Joyce (36'), Clark (43'), Hannant (47')
Oct 13, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 13
Port Vale
2-6
Lincoln
Conlon (51'), Whitfield (90' pen.)
Legge (45'), Miller (56')
Anderson (3'), McCartan (38'), Legge (45' og.), Bostwick (48'), Wharton (78'), Wilson (84')
Wilson (60')