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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 60.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 1-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Oxford United win it was 1-2 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Oxford United |
60.82% (![]() | 20.48% (![]() | 18.7% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.95% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.61% (![]() | 38.38% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.33% (![]() | 60.67% (![]() |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.77% (![]() | 12.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.08% (![]() | 37.91% (![]() |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.02% (![]() | 33.97% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.34% (![]() | 70.65% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Oxford United |
2-1 @ 9.9% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.17% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.73% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.94% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.43% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.75% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.65% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.38% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.42% ( ![]() Other @ 3.96% Total : 60.82% | 1-1 @ 9.42% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.35% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.15% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.35% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.48% | 1-2 @ 5.09% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.48% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.83% ( ![]() Other @ 2.96% Total : 18.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnsley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Blackpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Bristol Rovers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Burton Albion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Crawley TownCrawley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Exeter CityExeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Leyton Orient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Reading | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Stevenage | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Stockport CountyStockport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Wrexham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
> League One Full Table |