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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 13
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Bolton logo

Barnsley
2 - 2
Bolton

McAtee (25'), Pines (47')
McAtee (32'), Williams (90+11')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Adeboyejo (62'), Williams (90+8')
Thomason (11'), Iredale (90+10'), Jerome (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Barnsley and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 2-4 Barnsley
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Cambridge
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 2-2 Bolton Wanderers

Both teams will be desperate to claim all three points to aid their promotion bids, but after playing out a draw in February's reverse fixture, we think that the two closely-matched sides may have to settle for a share of the spoils once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawBolton Wanderers
39.71% (-0.124 -0.12) 25.37% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06) 34.92% (0.192 0.19)
Both teams to score 56.23% (0.253 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.46% (0.312 0.31)47.54% (-0.305 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.26% (0.287 0.29)69.74% (-0.283 -0.28)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32% (0.076000000000008 0.08)23.68% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.2% (0.107 0.11)57.8% (-0.103 -0.1)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.68% (0.262 0.26)26.32% (-0.257 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.55% (0.346 0.35)61.45% (-0.342 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 39.71%
    Bolton Wanderers 34.92%
    Draw 25.37%
BarnsleyDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.98% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.63% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.47% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.14% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 39.71%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 8.32% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.47% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 34.92%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Bolton

Barnsley
47.1%
Draw
11.8%
Bolton Wanderers
41.2%
68
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Bolton
1-1
Barnsley
Ashworth (64')
Maghoma (18'), Dempsey (84')
Cole (5')
Durand de Gevigney (2'), Connell (35'), Williams (47'), Cole (90+1')
May 19, 2023 8pm
May 13, 2023 3pm
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Barnsley
0-3
Bolton
Charles (12' pen.), Dadi Bodvarsson (41'), Dempsey (76')
Nov 5, 2022 2pm
First Round
Bolton
1-2
Barnsley
Santos (6' og.), Phillips (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth452713576413594
2Derby CountyDerby452781076373989
3Bolton WanderersBolton452511983483586
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough452581286582883
5Barnsley4521121281631875
6Lincoln CityLincoln4520141165382774
7Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4521111377552274
8Blackpool4521101463451873
9Stevenage4518141355451068
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe451614155955462
11Leyton Orient451711175054-462
12Exeter CityExeter451710184559-1461
13Wigan AthleticWigan451910166156559
14Northampton TownNorthampton45178205665-959
15Bristol Rovers45169205266-1457
16Charlton AthleticCharlton451120146464053
17Reading451511196568-350
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury45139233464-3048
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge451211223961-2247
20Burton Albion451210233964-2546
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham45128254063-2344
RFleetwood TownFleetwood45913234672-2640
RPort Vale451010254174-3340
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4579294179-3830


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