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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Barnsley |
| 26.02% ( | 23.69% ( | 50.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.72% ( | 44.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.34% ( | 66.65% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.31% ( | 30.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.06% ( | 66.94% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.31% ( | 17.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.67% ( | 48.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Barnsley |
| 2-1 @ 6.56% ( 1-0 @ 6.41% ( 2-0 @ 3.79% ( 3-1 @ 2.58% ( 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 3-0 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 2.95% Total : 26.02% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 3-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0-1 @ 9.4% ( 0-2 @ 8.14% ( 1-3 @ 5.56% ( 0-3 @ 4.7% ( 2-3 @ 3.28% ( 1-4 @ 2.41% ( 0-4 @ 2.04% ( 2-4 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 3.71% Total : 50.29% |