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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 35
Feb 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Derby logo

Barnsley
2 - 1
Derby

Phillips (33', 66')
Earl (79'), Cosgrove (86'), Cole (90+1'), Roberts (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bradley (18')
Nelson (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Barnsley
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Stevenage
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 1-1 Derby County

With both sides boasting plenty of quality throughout their ranks, we anticipate a tight and cagey encounter at Oakwell on Saturday given the high stakes. We cannot quite pick a winner between two in-form teams and instead anticipate a share of the spoils in South Yorkshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Barnsley has a probability of 35.4% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Barnsley win is 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.32%).

Result
BarnsleyDrawDerby County
35.4% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 25.94% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 38.65% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 54.34% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50% (0.086000000000006 0.09)50% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.02% (0.076000000000001 0.08)71.98% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.8% (0.048999999999992 0.05)27.2% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.39% (0.068000000000005 0.07)62.61% (-0.067 -0.07)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64% (0.039999999999992 0.04)25.36% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.85% (0.055999999999997 0.06)60.15% (-0.055 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 35.4%
    Derby County 38.65%
    Draw 25.94%
BarnsleyDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 8.98% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 35.4%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.9% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 9.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.45% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 6.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 38.65%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Derby

Barnsley
33.3%
Draw
0.0%
Derby County
66.7%
15
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Derby
3-0
Barnsley
Collins (35' pen., 63'), Forsyth (48')
Collins (17'), Forsyth (36')

Russell (65')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Barnsley
4-1
Derby
Cole (21', 45+2'), Phillips (33'), Thomas (90+4')
Jan 8, 2023 12.30pm
Third Round
Derby
3-0
Barnsley
Collins (45+1' pen.), Barkhuizen (60'), Knight (79')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Derby
2-1
Barnsley
McCarthy (8' og.), Mendez-Laing (35')
Cashin (47')
Benson (64')
McCarthy (62')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Derby
2-0
Barnsley
Morrison (22', 47')

Wolfe (7'), Morris (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth442713475393694
2Derby CountyDerby442681075373886
3Bolton WanderersBolton442411981483383
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough432481184562880
5Barnsley4421121179601975
6Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4421101376542273
7Lincoln CityLincoln4419141163372671
8Blackpool4420101460431770
9Stevenage4418131354441067
10Leyton Orient441711165053-362
11Northampton TownNorthampton44178195563-859
12Wycombe WanderersWycombe431513155553258
13Exeter CityExeter441610184358-1558
14Bristol Rovers44169195264-1257
15Wigan AthleticWigan441810165955456
16Charlton AthleticCharlton441119146363052
17Reading441511186365-250
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury44138233363-3047
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge431210213859-2146
20Burton Albion441110233662-2643
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham43118243761-2441
22Port Vale441010244172-3140
23Fleetwood TownFleetwood44813234572-2737
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4479284076-3630


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