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Championship header 2

League One

Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 35
Feb 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Derby logo

Barnsley
2 - 1
Derby

Phillips (33', 66')
Earl (79'), Cosgrove (86'), Cole (90+1'), Roberts (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bradley (18')
Nelson (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Barnsley
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Stevenage
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Barnsley has a probability of 35.4% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Barnsley win is 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.32%).

Result
BarnsleyDrawDerby County
35.4% (0.018000000000001 0.02)25.94% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)38.65% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 54.34% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50% (0.086000000000006 0.09)50% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.02% (0.076000000000001 0.08)71.98% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.8% (0.048999999999992 0.05)27.2% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.39% (0.068000000000005 0.07)62.61% (-0.067 -0.07)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64% (0.039999999999992 0.04)25.36% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.85% (0.055999999999997 0.06)60.15% (-0.055 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 35.4%
    Derby County 38.65%
    Draw 25.94%
BarnsleyDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 8.98% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 35.4%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.9% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 9.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.45% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 6.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 38.65%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Derby

Barnsley
33.3%
Draw
0.0%
Derby County
66.7%
15
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Derby
3-0
Barnsley
Collins (35' pen., 63'), Forsyth (48')
Collins (17'), Forsyth (36')

Russell (65')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Barnsley
4-1
Derby
Cole (21', 45+2'), Phillips (33'), Thomas (90+4')
McGoldrick (35')
Jan 8, 2023 12.30pm
Third Round
Derby
3-0
Barnsley
Collins (45+1' pen.), Barkhuizen (60'), Knight (79')
> Preview
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Derby
2-1
Barnsley
McCarthy (8' og.), Mendez-Laing (35')
Cashin (47')
Benson (64')
McCarthy (62')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Derby
2-0
Barnsley
Morrison (22', 47')

Wolfe (7'), Morris (90+4')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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