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Max Bird
60'
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James Collins
81'
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Kane Wilson
89'
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Liam Sercombe
50'
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Lewis Freestone
55'
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Sean Long
70'
Derby County vs Cheltenham Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 72.25%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 10.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Derby County in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Derby County.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Derby County Goals
Cheltenham Town Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.36% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.41% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.73%
6-0 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 72.24%
0-0 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 16.93%
1-2 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 10.82%
Head to Head
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Rob Street
39'
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Tom Bradbury
70'
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Curtis Nelson
45'+7'
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David McGoldrick
43'
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Lewis Dobbin
67'
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Caleb Taylor
2'
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Alfie May
77'
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Conor Hourihane
8'
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Max Bird
11'
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Tom Barkhuizen
55'