League One

League One | Gameweek 34

Feb 17, 2024 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
1 - 0
Stevenage

Sibley (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Forster-Caskey (62'), Ashby-Hammond (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Derby County and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Exeter 0-3 Derby
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stevenage

All competitions

Last Game: Stevenage 2-3 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 55.95%. A draw has a probability of 23.7% and a win for Stevenage has a probability of 20.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Stevenage win it is 0-1 (6.5%).

Result
Derby County	Draw	Stevenage
55.95% ( 0.42)	23.68% ( -0.09)	20.38% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 50.21% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.98% (

-0.03)

50.02% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28% (

-0.03)

72% (

0.03)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.29% (

0.15)

17.71% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.63% (

0.25)

48.37% (

-0.25)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.03% (

-0.37)

38.98% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.3% (

-0.34)

75.7% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Derby County 55.94%

Stevenage 20.38%

Draw 23.67%

Derby County	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.51% Total : 55.94%	1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.92% Total : 23.67%	0-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.43% Total : 20.38%