/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fchalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
-
Kayne Ramsay
70'
-
Daniel Kanu
82'
-
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing
31'
-
Ebou Adams
41'
-
Eiran Cashin
51'
-
Louie Sibley
68'
-
Josh Vickers
90'+1'
-
Conor Hourihane
90'+5'
Charlton Athletic vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F04%2Fpaul-warne.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Charlton Athletic Goals
Derby County Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 25.13%
2-2 @ 5.91% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.76%
0-1 @ 8.61% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 7.95% ▼ (-0.14)
1-3 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.07)
0-4 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.09)
2-4 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 52.11%
