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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 37.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
| 37.55% ( | 24.61% ( | 37.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.2% ( | 43.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.81% ( | 66.19% ( |
| Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.87% ( | 23.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43% ( | 56.99% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% ( | 22.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.23% ( | 56.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
| 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 1-0 @ 7.78% ( 2-0 @ 5.7% ( 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 4-0 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.55% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.61% | 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0-2 @ 5.75% ( 1-3 @ 4.12% ( 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 1-4 @ 1.52% ( 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0-4 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 37.84% |