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League One | Gameweek 27
Feb 27, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
The DW Stadium
Bolton logo

Wigan
1 - 0
Bolton

Humphrys (69')
Magennis (45'), Smith (60'), Smith (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Maghoma (7'), Ogbeta (24'), Thomason (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Cheltenham
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 4-1 Bolton
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-3 Bolton Wanderers

After falling to defeat at the weekend, Bolton will be determined to get their promotion bid back on track in Tuesday's meeting with one of their local rivals, and we think that the visitors will have the extra quality required to pick up all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawBolton Wanderers
27.66% (2.772 2.77) 25.07% (0.192 0.19) 47.27% (-2.966 -2.97)
Both teams to score 53.9% (1.805 1.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.91% (1.224 1.22)49.08% (-1.226 -1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.84% (1.096 1.1)71.16% (-1.098 -1.1)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (2.9 2.9)31.95% (-2.902 -2.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (3.182 3.18)68.41% (-3.183 -3.18)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (-0.75800000000001 -0.76)20.79% (0.756 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.55% (-1.204 -1.2)53.45% (1.202 1.2)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 27.66%
    Bolton Wanderers 47.26%
    Draw 25.07%
Wigan AthleticDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 7.58% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 6.79% (0.555 0.56)
2-0 @ 4.32% (0.445 0.45)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.392 0.39)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.267 0.27)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.281 0.28)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 27.66%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.64% (-0.339 -0.34)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.32 0.32)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 10.43% (-0.79 -0.79)
1-2 @ 9.35% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-2 @ 8.19% (-0.83 -0.83)
1-3 @ 4.89% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-3 @ 4.29% (-0.546 -0.55)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.106 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 47.26%

How you voted: Wigan vs Bolton

Wigan Athletic
37.2%
Draw
16.3%
Bolton Wanderers
46.5%
43
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Bolton
0-4
Wigan

Iredale (53'), Jones (72')
Wyke (12', 75'), Humphrys (24', 45+4')
Humphrys (45'), Watts (56'), Adeeko (80')
Apr 2, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 41
Wigan
1-1
Bolton
McClean (7')
McClean (16')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 13
Bolton
0-4
Wigan

Johnston (27'), Santos (64'), Thomason (87')
Keane (6'), McClean (51', 81'), Lang (65')
Cousins (48'), Lang (56'), Pearce (77'), Massey (86')
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Wigan
0-0
Bolton
Wigan win 5-4 on penalties
Smith (38'), Darikwa (41'), McClean (43'), Power (44'), Pearce (60')
Kachunga (45+1'), Afolayan (75'), Lee (86')
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 38
Wigan
5-2
Bolton
Garner (4'), Massey (51'), Powell (55'), Jacobs (69'), Clarke (81')
O'Neil (62'), Ameobi (80')
Lowe (3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth422612471363590
2Derby CountyDerby432581072373583
3Bolton WanderersBolton42249978453381
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough412381080503077
5Barnsley4221111075552074
6Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4220101271531870
7Lincoln CityLincoln4218141061352668
8Blackpool4319101459431667
9Stevenage4318131253421167
10Leyton Orient431711155050062
11Northampton TownNorthampton43178185561-659
12Exeter CityExeter431510183956-1755
13Wigan AthleticWigan431710165754353
14Wycombe WanderersWycombe411313155152-152
15Charlton AthleticCharlton431118146262051
16Bristol Rovers42149194863-1551
17Reading431510186163-249
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury42137223159-2846
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge41129203757-2045
20Burton Albion421010223359-2640
21Port Vale421010223866-2840
22Cheltenham TownCheltenham41108233457-2338
23Fleetwood TownFleetwood42713224268-2634
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4379274075-3530


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