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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 50.41%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 24.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-0 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 24.63% ( | 24.96% ( | 50.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.13% ( | 50.87% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.25% ( | 72.75% ( |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.61% | 35.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.85% ( | 72.14% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.81% ( | 20.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.51% ( | 52.49% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 7.42% ( 2-1 @ 6.17% ( 2-0 @ 3.86% ( 3-1 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 1.71% 3-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 2% Total : 24.63% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 2-2 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 11.43% 1-2 @ 9.5% 0-2 @ 9.14% 1-3 @ 5.07% ( 0-3 @ 4.88% ( 2-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0-4 @ 1.95% ( 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.73% Total : 50.41% |