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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 45.39% ( | 26.48% ( | 28.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.54% ( | 54.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.17% ( | 75.83% ( |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.08% ( | 23.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.86% ( | 58.14% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.57% ( | 34.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.86% ( | 71.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.77% ( 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 3-1 @ 4.28% ( 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 4-0 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 45.38% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 2-2 @ 4.79% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0-2 @ 4.68% ( 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0-3 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 2.22% Total : 28.13% |