League One

League One | Gameweek 27

Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

LNER Stadium

Lincoln
3 - 0
Shrewsbury

Bishop (6'), Hackett (58'), Sorensen (67')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bowman (23'), Bennett (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions

Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Lincoln
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

Last Game: Reading 2-3 Shrewsbury
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.41%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
46.41% ( -0.79)	28.49% ( -0.04)	25.1% ( 0.82)

Both teams to score 42.32% (

0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.94% (

0.59)

63.06% (

-0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.49% (

0.42)

82.51% (

-0.42)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.68% (

-0.12)

27.32% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.23% (

-0.16)

62.77% (

0.16)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.23% (

1.11)

41.77% (

-1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.77% (

0.96)

78.23% (

-0.96)

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 46.4%

Shrewsbury Town 25.1%

Draw 28.49%

Lincoln City	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 14.8% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 46.4%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 11.41% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.49%	0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.17% Total : 25.1%