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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 27
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
LNER Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Lincoln
3 - 0
Shrewsbury

Bishop (6'), Hackett (58'), Sorensen (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bowman (23'), Bennett (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Lincoln
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 2-3 Shrewsbury
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 2-1 Shrewsbury Town

Lincoln have enjoyed a resurgence in recent weeks and will be confident of edging close to the playoff picture with a third-straight victory on Tuesday night. Shrewsbury had to hold on in the second period for a vital three points at Reading, but we feel that the Shrews will be unable to repeat the trick at LNER Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.41%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawShrewsbury Town
46.41% (-0.788 -0.79) 28.49% (-0.035 -0.04) 25.1% (0.824 0.82)
Both teams to score 42.32% (0.738 0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.94% (0.585 0.59)63.06% (-0.584 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.49% (0.421 0.42)82.51% (-0.42100000000001 -0.42)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.68% (-0.122 -0.12)27.32% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.23% (-0.158 -0.16)62.77% (0.158 0.16)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.23% (1.113 1.11)41.77% (-1.112 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.77% (0.957 0.96)78.23% (-0.95699999999999 -0.96)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 46.4%
    Shrewsbury Town 25.1%
    Draw 28.49%
Lincoln CityDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 14.8% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-0 @ 9.61% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.16% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 46.4%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 11.41% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-2 @ 3.66% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.49%
0-1 @ 9.96% (0.087 0.09)
1-2 @ 5.64% (0.199 0.2)
0-2 @ 4.35% (0.168 0.17)
1-3 @ 1.64% (0.105 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.07% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 25.1%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Shrewsbury

Lincoln City
66.7%
Draw
20.0%
Shrewsbury Town
13.3%
30
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Shrewsbury
0-1
Lincoln

Shipley (19'), Anderson (78')
Hamilton (79')
O'Connor (31'), Roughan (40'), Sorensen (49'), Jensen (88')
May 7, 2023 12pm
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Shrewsbury
2-0
Lincoln
Leahy (45' pen.), Bayliss (60')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Shrewsbury
1-0
Lincoln
Udoh (84')
Leahy (22'), Bennett (51'), Vela (62')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Lincoln
1-1
Shrewsbury
McGrandles (43')
Fiorini (13'), Poole (89')
Leahy (50')
Udoh (30'), Whalley (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth422612471363590
2Derby CountyDerby432581072373583
3Bolton WanderersBolton42249978453381
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough412381080503077
5Barnsley4221111075552074
6Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4220101271531870
7Lincoln CityLincoln4218141061352668
8Blackpool4319101459431667
9Stevenage4318131253421167
10Leyton Orient431711155050062
11Northampton TownNorthampton43178185561-659
12Exeter CityExeter431510183956-1755
13Wigan AthleticWigan431710165754353
14Wycombe WanderersWycombe411313155152-152
15Charlton AthleticCharlton431118146262051
16Bristol Rovers42149194863-1551
17Reading431510186163-249
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury42137223159-2846
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge41129203757-2045
20Burton Albion421010223359-2640
21Port Vale421010223866-2840
22Cheltenham TownCheltenham41108233457-2338
23Fleetwood TownFleetwood42713224268-2634
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4379274075-3530


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