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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 13
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Fleetwood Town

Port Vale
2 - 2
Fleetwood

Weir (18'), Chislett (43' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Stockley (88', 90+3')
Lynch (43'), Johnston (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Port Vale and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Lincoln
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Fleetwood Town

The two relegation-threatened sides will both be determined to pick up all three points, but with wins proving hard to come by, we think that the respective teams will have to settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawFleetwood Town
42.4% (-2.311 -2.31) 25.38% (0.43 0.43) 32.22% (1.881 1.88)
Both teams to score 55.46% (-0.576 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.79% (-1.137 -1.14)48.21% (1.138 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.63% (-1.05 -1.05)70.36% (1.049 1.05)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.35% (-1.553 -1.55)22.65% (1.553 1.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.72% (-2.362 -2.36)56.28% (2.362 2.36)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.69% (0.68000000000001 0.68)28.3% (-0.679 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.97% (0.847 0.85)64.03% (-0.848 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 42.4%
    Fleetwood Town 32.22%
    Draw 25.37%
Port ValeDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.246 -0.25)
2-0 @ 7.07% (-0.334 -0.33)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.339 -0.34)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.341 -0.34)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.158 -0.16)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.21 -0.21)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.195 -0.2)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 42.4%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.41% (0.296 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 8.09% (0.519 0.52)
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.287 0.29)
0-2 @ 5.11% (0.417 0.42)
1-3 @ 3.19% (0.178 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.213 0.21)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 32.22%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Fleetwood

Port Vale
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
Fleetwood Town
28.6%
14
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Fleetwood
3-0
Port Vale
Stockley (8'), Coughlin (65'), Broom (90+4')
Johnston (33'), Mayor (54'), Kilkenny (90')

Lowe (63')
Aug 8, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Port Vale
3-2
Fleetwood
Chislett (18', 72'), Thomas (58')
Arblaster (20'), Chislett (41'), Grant (68'), Iacovitti (90+6')
Hayes (5'), Graydon (47')
Rooney (41'), Broom (66')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Port Vale
2-1
Fleetwood
Smith (30'), Hall (32')
McDermott (43'), Ojo (45+1'), Smith (70')
Batty (6')
Wiredu (52')
Sep 15, 2020 7pm
Second Round
Fleetwood
2-1
Port Vale
Madden (14'), Morris (75')
Madden (32'), Whelan (90+2')
Whitehead (49')
Hurst (45+1'), Montano (64'), Brisley (70'), Mills (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth422612471363590
2Derby CountyDerby432581072373583
3Bolton WanderersBolton42249978453381
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough412381080503077
5Barnsley4221111075552074
6Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4220101271531870
7Lincoln CityLincoln4218141061352668
8Blackpool4319101459431667
9Stevenage4318131253421167
10Leyton Orient431711155050062
11Northampton TownNorthampton43178185561-659
12Exeter CityExeter431510183956-1755
13Wigan AthleticWigan431710165754353
14Wycombe WanderersWycombe411313155152-152
15Charlton AthleticCharlton431118146262051
16Bristol Rovers42149194863-1551
17Reading431510186163-249
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury42137223159-2846
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge41129203757-2045
20Burton Albion421010223359-2640
21Port Vale421010223866-2840
22Cheltenham TownCheltenham41108233457-2338
23Fleetwood TownFleetwood42713224268-2634
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4379274075-3530


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