League One Gameweek 40
Burton Albion
Mar 23, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
Port Vale
  • Aristote Nsiala 28' yellowcard
  • Tom Hamer 74' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Loft 83'

Burton Albion vs Port Vale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
Exeter 1 - 0 Burton Albion
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Mark Helm

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
Port Vale 0 - 2 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Ben Garrity

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result

Burton Albion 37.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 27.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Port Vale 35% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.62%

Goals

Over 2.5 44.04%
Under 2.5 55.96% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 22.94% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 77.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 10.08%
Under 4.5 89.92% ▼ (-0.01)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 71.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 28.75% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 35.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 64.59% ▼ (-0.01)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 69.65%
Under 0.5 30.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 33.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 66.54% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Burton Albion 37.6%
Draw 27.38%
Port Vale 35%
Burton Albion
1-0 @ 10.87%
2-1 @ 8.08%
2-0 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.36%
3-0 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2%
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 37.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.96% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.73% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.38%
Port Vale
0-1 @ 10.4%
1-2 @ 7.73%
0-2 @ 6.2%
1-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 35%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Burton Albion
Nov 14, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
Port Vale
  • Beryly Lubala 15' yellowcard
  • Tom Hamer 18' yellowcard
  • goal Gavin Massey 31'
  • goal Lewis Cass 82'
FA Cup
Port Vale
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
Burton Albion
  • Nathan Smith 18' redcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Sweeney 2'
  • yellowcard Deji Oshilaja 43'
  • yellowcard Joe Powell 45'
  • yellowcard Josh Walker 64'
League One Gameweek 7
Port Vale
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Vale Park
Burton Albion
  • Ben Garrity 40' goal
  • Mitch Clark 64' yellowcard
  • Connor Ripley 70' yellowcard
  • Oliver Arblaster 86' goal
  • goal Beryly Lubala 11'
  • yellowcard Sam Hughes 17'
  • goal Steve Seddon 51'
  • goal Kwadwo Baah 61'
  • yellowcard Mark Helm 75'
  • yellowcard Joe Powell 90'
League One Gameweek 37
Port Vale
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Vale Park
Burton Albion
  • Ellis Harrison 2' goal
  • Jamie Proctor 80' goal
  • goal Dale Taylor 8'
  • goal Jonny Smith 48'
  • goal Dale Taylor 67'
League One Gameweek 5
Burton Albion
Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
Port Vale
  • goal Ben Garrity 49'
  • goal Ellis Harrison 90'+1'
FA Cup
Burton Albion
Dec 4, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Port Vale
  • Ryan Leak 23' goal
  • Conor Shaughnessy 88' yellowcard
  • goal Dennis Politic 79'
  • goal Dennis Politic 82'

Form Data

Exeter 1 - 0 Burton Albion
Portsmouth 2 - 1 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 1 - 3 Peterborough
Cheltenham 0 - 0 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 0 - 1 Carlisle
Burton Albion 0 - 2 Northampton
Port Vale 0 - 2 Oxford Utd
Leyton Orient 0 - 0 Port Vale
Port Vale 1 - 2 Shrewsbury
Derby 3 - 0 Port Vale
Port Vale 2 - 2 Fleetwood
Port Vale 0 - 2 Lincoln