League One Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Cameron Brannagan 14' goal
  • Mark Harris 30' goal
  • Owen Dale 43' goal
  • Mark Harris 83' goal
  • yellowcard Brendan Wiredu 35'
  • yellowcard Bosun Lawal 48'

Oxford United vs Fleetwood Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
Shrewsbury 1 - 1 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
83
Top scorer
Mark Harris

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
Fleetwood 1 - 2 Cheltenham
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Jayden Stockley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-2 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result

Oxford United 56.54% (-0.15)
Draw 22.18% (+0.03)
Fleetwood Town 21.29% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.4% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.53% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 42.47% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 35.13% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 64.87% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 18.36% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 81.64% (-0.05)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 85.16% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 14.84% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 56.84% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 43.16% (+0.06)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5 66.23% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 33.76% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 29.57% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 70.42% (-0.17)

Score analysis

Oxford United 56.54%
Draw 22.18%
Fleetwood Town 21.29%
Oxford United
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.12% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.8% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.42% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.77% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 56.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.38% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.38% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.01% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.24% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.18%
Fleetwood Town
1-2 @ 5.64% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.44% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.95% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.04% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.07% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 21.29%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Highbury Stadium
  • Scott Robertson 37' yellowcard
  • Josh Vela 65' yellowcard
  • goal Stanley Mills 16'
  • goal Billy Bodin 27'
  • goal Kyle Edwards 60'
League One Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Highbury Stadium
  • Brendan Wiredu 44' goal
  • goal Kyle Joseph 62'
  • goal Ciaron Brown 90'
League One Gameweek 11
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Gatlin O'Donkor 50' goal
  • goal Carlos Mendes Gomes 2'
League One Gameweek 43
Apr 15, 2022 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT
  • Ellis Harrison 39' goal
  • Ellis Harrison 52' yellowcard
  • Cian Hayes 53' goal
  • goal Nathan Holland 2'
  • goal Cameron Brannagan 7'
  • goal Billy Bodin 16'
  • yellowcard Cameron Brannagan 71'
  • yellowcard Jack Stevens 90'+6'
League One Gameweek 19
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Luke McNally 5' goal
  • Cameron Brannagan 13' goal
  • Nathan Holland 69' goal
  • Gavin Whyte 89' yellowcard
  • goal Jay Matete 40'
  • yellowcard Max Clark 52'
  • yellowcard Daniel Batty 65'
  • yellowcard Jay Matete 84'
League One Gameweek 27
Jan 30, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Josh Ruffels 28' goal
  • Alex Rodriguez 38' yellowcard
  • Sam Winnall 66' yellowcard
  • Dan Agyei 76' yellowcard
  • redcard Charlie Mulgrew 6'
  • yellowcard Danny Andrew 82'