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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 19.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 56.6% ( | 23.45% | 19.94% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.23% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.33% ( | 49.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.31% ( | 71.68% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.65% ( | 17.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.26% ( | 47.73% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.77% ( | 39.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.06% ( | 75.94% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.92% 2-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 6.1% ( 3-1 @ 5.71% 4-0 @ 2.67% ( 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.72% Total : 56.6% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 2-2 @ 4.57% ( Other @ 0.92% Total : 23.45% | 0-1 @ 6.37% 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0-2 @ 2.98% ( 1-3 @ 1.63% ( 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.39% Total : 19.94% |