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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 25
Feb 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Cambridge United

Stevenage
1 - 0
Cambridge

Roberts (35')
Forster-Caskey (45'), Reid (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cousins (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Stevenage and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Wycombe
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Peterborough
Saturday, February 24 at 12pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 2-0 Cambridge United

Stevenage will be feeling a whole lot better following the win over Wycombe on Saturday, and the visit of Cambridge represents a real opportunity for the Boro to burst into the top six. The U's appear to be going nowhere quick under the interim management of Corr, so we are expecting a third-straight loss for United on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 20.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.

Result
StevenageDrawCambridge United
55.62% (0.166 0.17) 23.76% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 20.62% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 50.33% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.95% (0.11799999999999 0.12)50.05% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.97% (0.106 0.11)72.03% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.16% (0.107 0.11)17.85% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.4% (0.179 0.18)48.6% (-0.176 -0.18)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.27% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)38.73% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.53% (-0.038 -0.04)75.47% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 55.61%
    Cambridge United 20.62%
    Draw 23.75%
StevenageDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 11.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.26% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.9% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.59% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.54% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.41% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 55.61%
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.91% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.75%
0-1 @ 6.56% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.11% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 20.62%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Cambridge

Stevenage
85.7%
Draw
5.7%
Cambridge United
8.6%
35
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Cambridge
1-2
Stevenage
Kachunga (80')
Roberts (27'), Reid (82')
Thompson (32'), Butler (68'), Reid (83')
Nov 9, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Stevenage
1-0
Cambridge
List (40')
Vancooten (13'), Reeves (38')

Masterson (62'), Weir (90+2')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Cambridge
0-1
Stevenage

Knoyle (71')
Norris (63')
Dec 29, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 21
Stevenage
1-0
Cambridge
Carter (22')

May (48'), Darling (62')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 28
Cambridge
0-4
Stevenage

Knoyle (23'), O'Neil (39'), Lewis (90')
List (36'), Cassidy (59'), Carter (87'), Lakin (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth422612471363590
2Derby CountyDerby432581072373583
3Bolton WanderersBolton42249978453381
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough412381080503077
5Barnsley4221111075552074
6Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4220101271531870
7Lincoln CityLincoln4218141061352668
8Blackpool4319101459431667
9Stevenage4318131253421167
10Leyton Orient431711155050062
11Northampton TownNorthampton43178185561-659
12Exeter CityExeter431510183956-1755
13Wigan AthleticWigan431710165754353
14Wycombe WanderersWycombe411313155152-152
15Charlton AthleticCharlton431118146262051
16Bristol Rovers42149194863-1551
17Reading431510186163-249
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury42137223159-2846
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge41129203757-2045
20Burton Albion421010223359-2640
21Port Vale421010223866-2840
22Cheltenham TownCheltenham41108233457-2338
23Fleetwood TownFleetwood42713224268-2634
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4379274075-3530


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